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Australia can not Afford Labor – This Affects EVERYONE!

 

I’m writing this as a property investor, a small business owner and an individual planning for his own retirement…

Now it might seem like I am biased when talking about this matter, being a professional property investor, but Labor’s proposed changes are going to affect everybody. As a small business owner and someone who will be a self-funded retiree, these changes hit me personally three times.

But even more alarming, these changes affect everybody, from low income earners right through to the wealthy.

I can’t understand why there are tonnes of people jumping for joy about the proposed changes. I have to assume that there are people in the public that are naive enough to believe that introducing these proposed tax changes will increase household wealth and reduce the cost of living… They will not. I am assuming they don’t realise the repercussions from the proposed tax changes and how they are going to effect our economy to the point of recession.   

 

Adding fuel to the fire is the timing of the proposed tax changes..

We have a string of changes that are already in full effect and they are already making huge waves in the economy. They are doing exactly what they were designed to do, regulate the finance industry and reduce credit demand, not mess with an already over taxed system. Changes so far include;

  • All the APRA changes that have been imposed onto the banks, making lending so much harder to obtain. Not just that borrowers cannot get the same amount of lending as they could 2 years ago (this is common sense lending, as they couldn’t afford loans that big anyway) but making the lenders use common sense lending practises.
  • The Royal Commission – which has totally exposed bad lending practises by the banks and scared them so much that they now go through each line of your savings statements to verify exactly what you are spending your money on, before they approve your loan. 
  • The fear from the banks from mass class action law suits from borrowers as they lose their home and fight the argument that the banks should have never lent them amount of money in the first place.
  • The Interest Only debacle, with over 500 Billion dollars in loans (both home loans and investment loans) due to have their interest only periods expire in the next 2 years. The issue being you can no longer extend the interest only period as banks won’t allow this, and borrowers can not refinance and move their loan to another lender as they can’t get their loan approved, due to tighter lending. Borrowers cannot afford the 30-40% increase in loan repayments that will come into affect when their interest only period expires. They are sitting ducks!
  • A cooling market in Sydney, Melbourne and most of the east coast.
  • Lenders increasing their interest rates considerably over the last 12 months, outside of the RBA.
  • Insane increases in the cost of living, especially electricity and fuel costs.

 

And now Labor (if voted in) want to put in the last knife by implementing three major tax changes.

 

Now if you think these changes won’t affect you, you are grossly mistaken. These changes have the ability to put Australia into our own recession, or the GFC we didn’t have last time.

 

The changes relate to three things:

  • Negative Gearing
  • Capital Gains Tax
  • Franking Credits

 

Let’s start with Property:

 

The changes to negative gearing proposal alone will cripple our property markets right across Australia. The proposal is to abolish negative gearing on all property, unless it is new.

 

So, let’s sucker the investors into buying new stock to only screw them over when they want to sell.

 

Why? Because that new property is no longer new, therefore limiting the buyers pool by one third (investors generally make up one third of buyers) of the potential buyers who will be looking to buy your property. This is because tax breaks are only available on new property.

 

If they believed that removing negative gearing would make property more affordable, then back yourself Bill and remove it all together. This is simply a political stunt to buy votes!

 

All this is going to do is bring to the surface a new breed of property sharks, with new schemes to rip off new property buyers, be that home owners & investors.

 

But the fun doesn’t stop there – even if you don’t invest in property but own your home, the same thing applies. Your home is also second hand, meaning that when you sell there will be less buyers. Less buyers means less competition, which equals less capital gains. The only tax free haven Australia has, is going to be drastically damaged. And the financial loser is you!

 

Downsizing before retirement, so you can put a nice little lumpsum away for life after work, may no longer be an option.  

 

And don’t think that if you are a tenant, that you are free from this mess. Less investors means less investment properties, which equals more competition for each property, which in turn equals increasing rental prices. The pools of properties coming onto the market will mainly only be new properties. Now in theory that sounds great, if there were investors around. Let’s presume there are – well, new properties are not everywhere, therefore limiting tenants where they can rent.

 

On top of this you are essentially segregating society as new land estates and high-rise apartment blocks will only be sold to investors, making the entire area a 100% tenant zone. 

 

So in one foul swoop, you have almost hit the back pocket of every single Australian… you should be proud – Australian of the Year for sure! Well done Bill… well done!

 

There’s also an argument to say this ruling could be classified as discriminatory – they are forcing investors to invest a particular way. It also borders on financial advice by dangling the carrot in front of investors to invest in new stock only due to tax benefits. And from a tax perspective, how can you not allow negative gearing from a property but then also tax you on a positively geared property. Hmmm sounds like a few court cases coming their way!

 

And just when you thought this one move was done – yep, there’s more.

 

Negative gearing doesn’t only affect property owners. It also affects the share market. No more negative gearing claims on your share portfolio if you have a margin loan. Or maybe you drew down on some equity in your home to buy some shares, no more claiming on that interest component either.

 

And there are 6.48 million Australian shareholders going to be affected by this.

 

So, not only will you will ruin the property market of Australia but you thought you would also throw the Australian Share market under a bus – both of which are already on the downturn! Consumer confidence will be completely thrown out the window and investors will sit on their hands and watch to see what happens. This will drop both markets even further.

 

That’s like sticking the knife in, and then twisting!

 

Next on the agenda is the reduction of the discount on Capital Gains Tax. The proposal is to reduce the discount from 50% to 25% deduction. This is by no way a small tax hike.

 

It’s huge!  

 

On a $200k profit on the sale of a property, the taxable amount increases by $50k.

 

So by the time we pay Stamp Duty and then CGT, the government are taking a massive percentage of any profit that a property may earn.

 

The last factor here for Bill’s non-thought about this plan is the true reasoning behind making property affordable. We must ask ourselves, what is the purpose of owning your own home?

 

It’s not to put a roof over your families’ heads, because that can be simply achieved by renting. It is to create wealth – so by destroying the property market, how is that helping anybody?

 

Let’s move on to Small Business and Superannuation.

 

The last change is nothing short of theft. Labor are proposing to take away franking credit on tax already paid. The proposed changes are for franking credits. A fully franked dividend is a dividend on an Australian share that has already had 30% tax paid on the income (although some smaller companies only pay 27.5% income tax). The pre-paid tax on a dividend is known as a franking credit that can then be used to reduce the income tax an individual, or a super fund, has to pay on income. Super funds can credit the pre-paid tax against tax payable on the fund’s income. Individuals can credit the pre-paid tax against tax payable on personal income, and a tax refund if the franking credits are greater than the income tax payable. A super fund in retirement phase pays no tax on any earnings funding pension income, which means the fund can claim a tax refund for any franking credits.

 

Outside of this being pure theft, those in retirement have invested their entire working lives (30 years), using this strategy. And now Labor think it’s OK to simply take it away. These franking credit are what thousands of low income retiree’s use as an income. This will cripple thousands of retiree’s and force them back onto the Pension, costing the government billions. This directly affects low income earners, the battlers – the people Bill quite confidently makes a point of trying to help…

 

The flow on affect from this is that our parents will have a lower quality retirement and less money they can pass onto their children through an inheritance. So, this also affects millions more Australians.

 

But this tax affects every Australian who has their super with a managed fund – as they also use this tax saving strategy when investing your superannuation.

 

The same tax affects all business owners with a company. If the company makes a profit and pays company tax, then the tax payable, if the money is drawn as an income, should only be the top up tax payable. Or a tax credit is applied if the owner pays less than the pre paid tax threshold. Not anymore!

 

Business owners use this tax effective strategy when they retire part time. This allows their business to continue to operate whilst they pay themselves a very modest wage. Modest wage = low income earner. The new tax will now force company owners to sell their business rather than work part time. And guess who the winner is when they sell their company – oh thats right, the government – as they pay huge tax again!

 

Financially affecting companies, by taxing them over half of what THEY earn (not Labor), means that employers have less funds to employ more staff, expand their businesses and create wealth for their families.

 

So Bill, how do you respond to this? As I am struggling to find a single person in Australia who won’t be affected by these changes, except maybe you!

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18 comments…
  • Barry parker November 21, 2018, 12:55 am

    Hi all, you all feel pasionate about our challenges! Do something about it! Join the australian democrates and become part of the voice for change!!
    The reamerging democrates can be the balance for policy that is in our best interests. Go to the australian democrates wrbsite and join the discussion!!

    Reply
    • Todd November 21, 2018, 3:16 am

      Hi Barry,

      Perhaps if I knew where the Democrates party stood on these matters then it may curve some readers minds.

      Cheers T

      Reply
  • Clinton Baker November 20, 2018, 9:19 pm

    Dont worry to much as they have to get the legislation passed first and thats not likely to happen, secondly who ever is elected wont be there long before he is challenge for his position and we will have yet again another Prime Minister.

    Anyhow I haven’t negative geared for years as Cash-flow is King, you cannot live on negative geared money.

    Reply
    • Todd November 21, 2018, 12:02 am

      Hi Clinton,

      The problem is that if Labor get in they will have a majority parliament – meaning that they virtually cannot be stopped. Very different to how it is today where the libs must fight for every single change – and lose most. Hence nothing happens.

      Re: negative gearing, neither do I – the issue is that millions do and they will now sell or not buy and your properties values will decrease in value dramatically – so yes this will affect you.

      Cheers T

      Reply
  • The weapon November 20, 2018, 8:40 am

    You had me right up until the part about franking credits… there your thought experiment falls down. You can’t think about these things in partial equilibrium.

    Reply
    • Todd November 21, 2018, 12:04 am

      Hi Patrick,

      Please explain?

      The problem with franking credits is that millions of retired people have spent 30 years of their working life, investing using this strategy. They lived life to plan on retiring with the franking credits as their income – they are low income earners. Now after 30 years this strategy is going to be taken away – not even grandfathered, like most other changes. It’s wrong!

      Cheers T

      Reply
      • The weapon November 21, 2018, 10:19 am

        You see this is where again it falls down. Your gripe, it seems, is about equity… it’s not fair to change the rules. Well why is it fair for the working age population? I don’t see why the current workforce should be subsidising these low income earners with a straight lump-sum wealth transfer each and every year. That is what the old age pension is for…

        Reply
        • Todd November 22, 2018, 6:16 am

          Hi Patrick,

          So you pay either way? Whats your argument?

          Now I wouldn’t call it a lump sum wealth transfer – most of these people only just survive on these refunds. And spent their entire life working towards this strategy. I am sure if you were retired and the rug was pulled from beneath your feet, you would not be happy.

          Todd

          Reply
  • Mark Anderson November 20, 2018, 5:28 am

    I totally agree that the Libs are at least for the last few decades the superior financial managers. And if my decision only required me to consider my immediate financial position I would vote Liberal hands down. But I have been researching the latest scientific reports with respects to our planet and let just say it’s very concerning. Without boring you with all the details on soil degregraton, ocean acidification and climate change the general consensus is we have about a decade to have significant changes in place if we are to advert very undesirable disruption to humanity. Now i know these issues don’t typically gain much traction in Australia or the USA for that matter but I do believe Labor and the Green are going to benefit from Liberal’s refusal to act. I wish I could once again vote for them, especially now that I am in the biggest development of my life. I just can’t put my immediate interests ahead of my planets or my children’s.

    Reply
    • Todd November 20, 2018, 6:59 am

      Big call Mark… at least you stick to your guns… but if Australia is broke then there’s no money for any earth fixing projects.

      Reply
  • George November 20, 2018, 3:08 am

    Bill the dill
    I’m sick & tired of our dimwit politicians, in a country as wealthy as Australia our politicians who don’t spend our tax well enough. So Bill has told us how he’s going to increase taxes, but hasn’t told us what we’ll get in return? No deal, maybe if we had a Pension system such as the “Parliamentary Contributory Superannuation Scheme”, where retiring MP’s get a 75% Pension of their Wage, this is on average is $118,125 minimum for life, not bad, these Politicians can see fit to award themselves a guaranteed Pension for life and what does the average person get? More tax, stupid policy that will stunt the market from activity as people sit on the sidelines to see what will happen, I’d say, less investment, less construction activity and therefore less jobs. Don’t care what any Research Paper states, human behaviour will see us stop and wait to see what happens.

    No way I’ll let this fool take control. As someone who invests, his policy would actually benefit me, Negative Gearing on New Construction only, but this will mean anyone selling Existing Stock will have not have an equal market opportunity, New Builds will attract both Investors for potential Negative Gearing and Owner/Occupiers, whereas Existing Stock will only appeal to Owner Occupiers, will this solve Australia’s Housing Affordability? Not likely, we are lucky we live here, but everyone else wants to as well, as seen by the enormous flows of foreign capital into the Country, what did they expect would happen when Immigration and Foreign Ownership is opened and not systematically controlled?

    Reply
    • Todd November 20, 2018, 6:57 am

      Hi George,

      Indeed, new is only new once… wow we worked that out in minutes!

      I must say he has certainly rubbed me the wrong way – but by making out that he is only hurting property investors or millionaires (of which he is one) he has actually hurt everyone but disguised it in a way that the normal family wouldn’t know and thats simply deceiving

      Cheers T

      Reply
  • Luke November 20, 2018, 1:42 am

    Great article Todd. Its very concerning if these policies are adopted by Labor

    Reply
    • Todd November 20, 2018, 2:40 am

      Scary as Luke… hopefully he doesn’t win, but if he does hopefully his adviser knock some sense into him

      Reply
  • Russ Humphreys November 19, 2018, 11:36 pm

    A great read as usual Todd..

    Informative, Scary and hard hitting..
    All we now need to do is to work out how we stop the Australia public from voting him into office

    Reply
    • Todd November 20, 2018, 2:41 am

      Im going to do a facebook Sponsored post to get word out more… Share Share Share… through all social media platforms

      Reply
  • Bob November 19, 2018, 9:05 pm

    I was aware of some of this, but this bit caught me off-guard:

    ‘Negative gearing doesn’t only affect property owners. It also affects the share market. No more negative gearing claims on your share portfolio if you have a margin loan. Or maybe you drew down on some equity in your home to buy some shares, no more claiming on that interest component either.’

    Can you provide a reference for this bit? I thought it was only negative gearing on properties.
    Thanks, Bob

    Reply
    • Todd November 19, 2018, 10:20 pm

      Hi Bob,

      Their negative gearing proposal is to affect all negative gearing. It will be grandfathered, so any shares or property you own before they changes will have the same negative gearing applied. Purchaser’s afterwards, however will not.

      Hopefully after all this news comes to light they will throw away all their policies as they are going to ruin Australia.

      Cheers Todd

      Reply

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